{"id":6941,"date":"2023-09-30T14:44:22","date_gmt":"2023-09-30T09:14:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/appreciatewealth.com\/blog\/?post_type=rearview_mirror&#038;p=6941"},"modified":"2024-04-17T13:18:31","modified_gmt":"2024-04-17T07:48:31","slug":"the-us-government-may-shutdown","status":"publish","type":"rearview_mirror","link":"https:\/\/appreciatewealth.com\/blog\/rearview-mirror\/the-us-government-may-shutdown","title":{"rendered":"The US government may shutdown"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>23rd September 2023 &#8211; 29th September 2023 | Another week in the markets<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Nasdaq<\/strong><\/td><td> <strong>VIX<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>DJIA<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Russell 1000<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>NYSE<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>4,288.05<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>13,219.32<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>17.52<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>33,507.50<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>2,351.35<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>15,398.21<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>-0.74%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>0.06%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>1.86%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>-1.34%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>-0.61%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>-1.10%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><\/td><td><\/td><td><\/td><td><\/td><td><\/td><td><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Nifty 50<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Silver<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Brent crude<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>USD-INR<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>EUR-INR<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>19,638.30<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>$<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>1,864.60<\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>$<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>22.39<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>$<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>92.11<\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>83.18<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>87.94<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>-0.18%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>-4.13%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>-6.00%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>-1.83<\/strong>%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>0.07%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>-0.64%<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><br>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">MarketWatch<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Hello Saturday,<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This week, the US government nears shutdown, crude oil prices surge on extended supply cuts, and the Federal Trade Commission files a landmark antitrust case against Amazon.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Congress is yet to pass the 12 appropriation bills for the new fiscal year starting October 1, failing which the US government would shut down \u2013 minimal impact on the market expected<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>US oil inventory falls more than expected and intraday oil prices surge to $94.04 a barrel amidst extended supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Federal Trade Commission sues Amazon for illegally maintaining monopoly power and harming customers and sellers in a long-awaited antitrust case<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>China\u2019s top developer, Evergrande Group\u2019s shares are suspended as the Chairman is placed under police watch, exacerbating the embattled firm\u2019s issue<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Taliban-controlled Afghanistan\u2019s currency, afghani, emerges as the best-performing global currency for the current quarter<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Taking stock | Shutdown, not meltdown | Oil is not well | Trust issues | Chinamite | Afghani impetus | Invest wisely<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Taking stock<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Wall Street wrapped up the month of September with all the three major indices logging quarterly declines. The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq also posted their biggest monthly percentage declines of the year this month. For the week, the S&amp;P 500 dropped 0.74, while the Dow lost 1.34%. The Nasdaq climbed 0.06%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Just another shutdown&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The US government has less than two days to avoid a shutdown, and panic looms in a market that is already uncertain. The US fiscal year ends on September 30, and Congress has yet to pass the 12 appropriation bills to fund government operations in the new fiscal year starting October 1. The Republicans want the Democrats to cut back on certain spending they believe is unnecessary, and unless they come to an agreement, the US government would \u2018shut down\u2019. However, it is not as severe as it sounds. It&#8217;s not the first time this is happening either.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The US government has shut down about 20 times in the last four decades, and the impact on both, the economy and the stock market has been minimal. With the exception of the hours-long shutdown in 2018, the performance of the S&amp;P 500 across these 20 shutdowns has been <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2023\/09\/28\/investing\/premarket-stocks-trading-government-shutdown\/index.html#:~:text=The%20possibility%20of%20a%20US,mean%20smooth%20sailing%20for%20markets.\" rel=\"nofollow\">typically flat, with an average return of 0.04%<\/a>. Also, in the most recent government shutdown in 2019, the index rose more than 10%.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/jvd1G80owOu3t3fRmgw1jT5HG1_wzyVxU3RURnNCXjldwgSj24aDIgXE06nFoewldKA8Vm6Z5iAPZrQ8hJ2jlwEVRLFEK7s4iPwGxhR9wBG263s-nxXYVll_o3-QjHfsLTaNbQcNtjPwch0DBAXTNxs\" alt=\"A graph on % change in S&amp;P 500 index\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source: <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2023\/09\/28\/investing\/premarket-stocks-trading-government-shutdown\/index.html#:~:text=The%20possibility%20of%20a%20US,mean%20smooth%20sailing%20for%20markets.\" rel=\"nofollow\"><em>CNN<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to economists, a government shutdown will also barely have any impact on the GDP. However, several factors are at play, impacting investor sentiment and testing the resilience of the economy \u2014 surging oil prices, a possible interest rate hike in the next policy meeting, and the restart of student loan repayments in addition to the looming government shutdown.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Oil is not well&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Wednesday, US crude prices surged up to 4% to $94.04 a barrel before closing at $93.68 a barrel. This is the highest intraday price in over a year since August 30, 2022. Surging oil prices is bad news for an economy already struggling with high inflation. But why is this happening?&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Earlier this month, Saudi Arabia and Russia, two of the world\u2019s biggest oil exporters, announced they would extend voluntary oil cuts to the end of the year. Combined, the oil supply cuts translate to <a href=\"https:\/\/agsiw.org\/global-oil-prices-spiral-higher-after-saudi-arabia-and-russia-extend-supply-cuts\/\">1.3 million barr<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/agsiw.org\/global-oil-prices-spiral-higher-after-saudi-arabia-and-russia-extend-supply-cuts\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">e<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/agsiw.org\/global-oil-prices-spiral-higher-after-saudi-arabia-and-russia-extend-supply-cuts\/\">ls a day<\/a>, which severely tightens the oil market, putting upward pressure on prices. Some experts believe this move could increase oil prices to $100 a barrel.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week, federal data revealed that US crude inventories fell by more than expected last week, causing some nervousness and sending oil prices up. Inventory at the key Cushing, Oklahoma storage hub has also <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2023\/09\/27\/economy\/oil-above-94-a-barrel-for-first-time-2023\/index.html?utm_term=1695901016972636c1376b364&amp;utm_source=cnn_Before+the+Bell+Thursday+9%2F28&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;bt_ee=PNRiWPnLG4nUeCa7vXKft1w%2FZhaB0Ww23F7fXJbQv53nC5daWq8gnEAPHAJqHJLY&amp;bt_ts=1695901016975\" rel=\"nofollow\">dropped to nine-year lows<\/a> on account of strong refining and export demand.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Trust issues<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This week, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), along with 17 US states, filed a long-awaited suit against the online retail giant Amazon.com, accusing it of illegally maintaining its monopoly power and harming fair trade.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This landmark antitrust case comes after years of investigation into complaints that Amazon and other Big Tech companies abuse their dominance of search, online retailing, and social media to gatekeep profitable aspects of the internet, harming both sellers and customers.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the 172-page complaint, the FTC accuses Amazon of several unfair monopolistic trade practices. For instance, it accuses Amazon of using a network of web crawlers to identify its sellers who sell their products at lower prices on platforms other than Amazon and then punishes them by making it harder for customers to find their products on Amazon. It also accuses the company of forcing sellers to use its logistics and delivery services instead of cheaper alternatives that the sellers would prefer. The FTC also alleges that between 2020 and 2022, Amazon<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/legal\/ftcs-amazon-complaint-zeros-seller-prices-logistics-2023-09-27\/\" rel=\"nofollow\"> raised its average fulfilment fees to sellers by about 30%<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The FTC has asked the court to consider forcing Amazon to sell parts of its business to remedy its monopoly of the most lucrative parts of the internet. This lawsuit could present an upside for investors either way the court rules. If the company does break up its business, analysts believe that the value of the sum of its parts will be greater than the whole.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Chinamite&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Evergrande Group used to be one of the top developers in China. But the company has been bankrupt for the last <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-asia-china-66956769\" rel=\"nofollow\">18 months, halted construction on more than 1.5 million unfinished homes, and defaulted on its offshore debt<\/a>. And now, this week, the chairman, Hu Ka Yan, was put under police surveillance over suspected crimes, and trading in the company\u2019s shares was suspended. The shares will remain suspended until further notice.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Investors fear the impact of this on the company\u2019s ability to get a debt recovery deal and avert a possible liquidation. This is not good for China\u2019s already struggling and debt-laden property sector. China\u2019s property market, which accounts for a third of its economy, has been in deep trouble for the past two years. Since mid-2021, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/asia\/country-garden-how-bad-is-chinas-property-crisis-2023-08-17\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">companies accounting for 40% of the home sales in the country have defaulted<\/a>. The government has been trying to stimulate its sluggish economy. Still, now investors worry that the deepening property crisis may spill over into China\u2019s banking system, further threatening the struggling economy.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Afghani impetus<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Conflict-ridden Afghanistan\u2019s currency, afghani, has emerged as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/economy\/afghan-currency-best-performing-in-this-quarter-global-aid-taliban-imposed-curbs-behind-surge-11695737828348.html\" rel=\"nofollow\">best-performing global currency this quarter<\/a>. As of this week, afghani was trading at around 78 against the US dollar. For the quarter, it has climbed 9%, outperforming the Colombian peso.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The primary reason behind this strong performance is the inflow of billions of dollars in humanitarian aid along with the currency control measures imposed by the Taliban. Since 2021, when the Taliban took over, the UN has assisted with $5.8 billion in aid and development. On a yearly basis, afghani is the third-best performing currency after Colombian peso and Sri Lankan rupee, having climbed 14%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Invest wisely&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite events like a temporary government shutdown over political deadlocks, the US stock market tends to hold up well. That\u2019s the kind of resilient market you want to invest your money in to maximise gains and build long-term wealth. <a href=\"https:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.appreciatewealth.android\" rel=\"nofollow\">Download the Appreciate App<\/a> to gain seamless access to the US market today!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Warm regards,<br><strong>Another week <\/strong><strong><br><\/strong><strong>in the markets<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>23rd September 2023 &#8211; 29th September 2023 | Another week in the markets S&amp;P 500 Nasdaq VIX DJIA Russell 1000 NYSE 4,288.05 13,219.32 17.52 33,507.50 2,351.35 15,398.21 -0.74% 0.06% 1.86% -1.34% -0.61% -1.10% Nifty 50 Gold Silver Brent crude USD-INR EUR-INR 19,638.30 $1,864.60 $22.39 $92.11 83.18 87.94 -0.18% -4.13% -6.00% -1.83% 0.07% -0.64% Source: MarketWatch\u00a0 &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/appreciatewealth.com\/blog\/rearview-mirror\/the-us-government-may-shutdown\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The US government may shutdown<\/span> Read More \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":4669,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set"},"class_list":["post-6941","rearview_mirror","type-rearview_mirror","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.7 - 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